2023 Year in Review | Cape Cod Real Estate Market Update | Chatelain (2024)

Well folks, the sleigh ride is over. For the first time since 2019, last year concluded on something of a mixed note for the Cape Cod Real Estate market. Cape homes set a new record 12-month high of $679,750 in December of 2023, up an eye-watering 66% from $410,000 in December 2019. But if we look closer, we see that prices from November 2023 to February 2024 have dropped more than usual for the holiday season. We will be keeping a close eye on this metric in February and March, by which time prices usually start ticking up again, and looking for signs of a consolidating contraction in median price. Tune in to our monthly market report then for an update.

On the buying side, macroeconomic factors governed the local market in 2023. Interest rates opened the year in the 6.5% range, peaked in November at 7.8%, and closed out the year back around 6.6%. Historically speaking rates in the mid-6% range aren’t bad. But remember that these are the highest rates in decades so homebuyers today are paying year 2000 mortgage rates on homes that were priced during a regime of rates hovering around 3%. The principal and interest payment on a median home at prevailing rates in 2000 was $2,735 in inflation-adjusted 2023 dollars. The payment on the same home purchased in November 2023 was $4,085, a 49% increase in monthly payment for the very same home. Until either rates or prices begin to fall, the real purchasing power of those buyers who intend to finance will remain considerable weaker than it was 24 years ago.

Which raises the big question – what will the new year bring? Jerome Powell stopped answering our calls years ago, so we’ll leave interest rates aside for now. Looking at prices, we’re seeing a larger than average drop for this time of year. New listings continue to fall, but no faster than they have been for the last 5 years. Closed sales also continue their decline since setting a record in 2021 and are hovering near the record low set in 2009. Until interest rates or prices (or both) drop and folks feel confident moving from their current home, the most likely source of inventory is from folks moving out of the area altogether or moving in with relatives as they age. When we add all those currents together it feels like the winds may be shifting. But how far and how fast, it’s impossible to tell.

Whether you are buying or selling, stay up to date on the latest local market conditions by signing up for our monthly newsletter HERE.

2023 Year in Review | Cape Cod Real Estate Market Update | Chatelain (2024)

FAQs

2023 Year in Review | Cape Cod Real Estate Market Update | Chatelain? ›

Cape homes set a new record 12-month high of $679,750 in December of 2023, up an eye-watering 66% from $410,000 in December 2019. But if we look closer, we see that prices from November 2023 to February 2024 have dropped more than usual for the holiday season.

Are home prices dropping on Cape Cod? ›

Looking only at single-family homes, the $681,000 median selling price in Barnstable County was down 2% in March from $695,000 the month prior. Since March 2023, the sales price of single-family homes was up 9% from a median of $625,000.

What is the property market forecast for Cape Town in 2023? ›

Coastal areas are the primary target, and the Western Cape is experiencing significant semigration, with a 20% increase to 120k in 2023. New Cape Town developments are arising in response to this growing demand. With the property stock increasing, buyers have more choices and thus sellers have to lower their prices.

What is the real estate prediction for Cape Cod in 2024? ›

The Cape Cod real estate market is projected to maintain its strength throughout 2024, with a continuation of rising home prices and persistently low inventory levels.

Will 2023 be good for real estate? ›

In my opinion, real estate is one intelligent option to consider in 2023, as it often has excellent returns, tax advantages and provides diversification even in the face of a challenging economic climate. Real estate also has the potential to compound your investment.

Where is the cheapest place to live in Cape Cod? ›

The cheapest places to live on Cape Cod are:
  • Barnstable: 111 COLI.
  • Yarmouth: 112 COLI.
  • Dennis: 120 COLI.
  • Sandwich: 123 COLI.
  • Bourne: 124 COLI.
  • Mashpee: 127 COLI.
  • Harwich: 129 COLI.
Dec 15, 2021

Where is the most expensive place to live in Cape Cod? ›

Expensive Cape Cod
  1. Provincetown @ $2,322,500 (up 83% since 9/2021 and same spot on the list)
  2. Chatham @ $1,300,000 (up 6% and same spot)
  3. Orleans @ $1,262,500 (up 31% and up 1 spot)
  4. Wellfleet @ $1,100,000 (up 37% and up 1 spot)
  5. Truro @ $1,000,000 (down .04% and down 2 spots)
  6. Eastham @ $770,000 (up 18% and up 3 spots)

Where are home prices falling the most in 2023? ›

10 Cities Where Home Prices Are Falling Most in 2023
  • Chicago. Median listing price: $376,000. ...
  • Sacramento, California. Median listing price: $662,875. ...
  • Winston-Salem, North Carolina. Median listing price: $345,899. ...
  • Pittsburgh. Median listing price: $238,250. ...
  • Salt Lake City. ...
  • Sarasota, Florida. ...
  • Phoenix. ...
  • Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

How many homes are expected to sell in 2023? ›

CharacteristicNumber of homes sold in million units
2024*4.62
20234.09
20225.03
20216.12
9 more rows
Apr 17, 2024

Is it a good time to buy property in Cape Town? ›

Vann-Herbert says that property prices in Cape Town have not yet reached pre-Covid heights, making it a great time to buy, especially as those with hard currency can also benefit from the weakness of the rand. The local currency is exceptionally volatile, but its long-term trend is clear: since 1975, when it was R3.

Is buying a home on Cape Cod a good investment? ›

Cape Cod is one of the few real estate markets in the U.S. that remains lucrative even during challenging economic climates. People who invest in Cape Cod properties fare well and many times better than real estate investors elsewhere in the country.

What is the median price of a house in Cape Cod? ›

The annual median sales price of single-family homes in Barnstable County has increased substantially over the past few years, from $433,000 in 2019 to $730,000 for 2023.

Is it a good time to invest in real estate in 2024? ›

If you've been wondering whether now's the right time to invest in real estate, you're in the right place. The 2024 real estate market is full of opportunities but also some uncertainties. Home prices are rising, but the pace has slowed.

Is 2023 a better time to buy a house? ›

Interest Rates: A bright spot for potential buyers is the recent dip in interest rates from their late 2023 highs. This translates to increased purchasing power, allowing you to stretch your budget further. However, experts predict rates may fluctuate throughout the year.

What is the next big thing in real estate? ›

Blockchain. The predictions about how blockchain can change and revolutionize the industry are huge. 2024 is envisioned to finally adopt blockchain to bring security, clarity, and efficiency to real estate transactions. In 2024, the spending for blockchain solutions will peak at 19 billion USD.

How much longer will Cape Cod last? ›

Erosion along the Nauset-Monomoy barrier system can move the beach anywhere from 1 to 6 meters a year (3 to 20 feet). Sea level rise — a least one foot in the past century — is also slowly taking away the beachfront. Between the two, the sea could reclaim Cape Cod in five or six thousand years.

Are people moving to Cape Cod? ›

While all areas saw more people moving in than out in 2020, only in the Upper Cape was that true for all four years. The net difference for moves in versus moves out in 2020 was significantly greater than in 2019, 2021, and 2022 as people flocked to the region in the early days of the pandemic.

How much does the average house cost in Cape Cod? ›

The annual median sales price of single-family homes in Barnstable County has increased substantially over the past few years, from $433,000 in 2019 to $730,000 for 2023.

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