Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (2024)

By Ashley Wu

For the second year in a row, the number of illegal crossings at the U.S.-Mexico border surpassed two million, according to government data released this month.

Annual southwestern border apprehensions

By fiscal year, from October to September

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (1)

2022

2.21 million

2023

2.05 million

2 million apprehensions

2021

1.66 million

1.5

1

0.5

2000

2010

2020

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (2)

2022

2.21 million

2023

2.05 million

2 million apprehensions

2021

1.66 million

1.5

1

0.5

2015

2000

2010

2020

2005

The 2022 fiscal year set a record of 2.2 million illegal border crossings. These numbers do not include crossings at official checkpoints. Including those, migrant crossings in the 2023 fiscal year hit a record high.

Immigration is a major issue for President Biden. Republicans say his immigration policies are too weak to reduce numbers at the border. Members of his own party — like the mayors of Chicago and New York — have said their cities do not have enough resources to provide shelter and other assistance to the growing number of migrants.

Shifting U.S. policies, global migration patterns and changing migrant demographics all factor into the high levels of illegal border crossings of the past few years.

U.S. Policy Changes

Title 42, a pandemic-era immigration policy, had been used for more than three years to quickly expel migrants who have tried to cross the border illegally, on the grounds of public health. It was enacted by former President Donald J. Trump in March 2020 and expanded under the Biden administration.

The policy expired in May, and the number of border apprehensions dropped by more than 40 percent in June. Since then, the number of illegal border crossings has increased every month, and border patrol agents made nearly 220,000 apprehensions in September alone.

Monthly southwestern border apprehensions

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (3)

May ’23

Title 42 expired

Sept. ’23

218,763

apprehensions

200,000 apprehensions

100,000

March ’20

Title 42

authorized

2019

2021

2023

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (4)

May 2023

Title 42

expired

Sept. 2023

218,763

apprehensions

200,000 apprehensions

100,000

March 2020

Title 42

authorized

2022

2018

2019

2020

2021

2023

Source: U.S. Customs and Border Protection

Note: Only encounters between ports of entry are shown.

Before Title 42 expired, the Biden administration had created more legal pathways of entry for migrants. At the same time, harsher punishments were established for crossing illegally. Government officials say this drove unlawful crossings down in May and June, as more migrants were using the new and expanded legal pathways. But experts say they never expected the drop to last.

“Every time we see changes in the border policies, we see a sort of a lull while everybody figures it out, and then we see increased numbers after that,” said Denise Gilman, a professor and director at the University of Texas at Austin’s Immigration Clinic.

Global Migration

Patterns of global migration contributed to the recent rise in illegal border crossings. For example, Venezuela’s economy crumbled about a decade ago, leading to a massive outflow of the country’s population. Gang violence in Central America has forced many to flee. Economic shock, violence and political forces have displaced millions and sent more people to the United States to seek refuge.

Historically, most migrants have come to the United States from Mexico, with growing numbers in the last decade from the Northern Triangle (Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador). But more recently, migrants from other countries have accounted for nearly half of illegal border crossings.

Share of southwestern border apprehensions by migrants’ countries of origin

By fiscal year, from October to September

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (5)

100% of apprehensions

75

Mexico

2023

49.8%

from other

countries

50

Northern Triangle

(Guatemala,

Honduras, El Salvador)

25

Other

2008

2012

2016

2020

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (6)

100% of apprehensions

75

Mexico

2023

49.8%

from other

countries

50

Northern Triangle

(Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador)

25

Other

2008

2012

2016

2020

Source: U.S. Customs and Border Protection

Notes: Only encounters between ports of entry are shown.

For years, the United States and Mexico have had a diplomatic arrangement under which Mexico has agreed to accept Mexican migrants deported by the United States. Such an agreement is generally in place before the United States deports or expels migrants back to their home countries. When Title 42 was enacted, Mexico also agreed to accept expelled migrants from the Northern Triangle.

Migrants from other countries that lack these diplomatic relationships have taken their chances at the border, hoping to be released, at least temporarily, into the United States. In particular, hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans have shown up at the southern border since the beginning of the pandemic. They accounted for the third-most illegal border crossings in the past year, after Mexicans and Guatemalans.

Mexico later agreed to accept some migrants from Venezuela, Cuba, Haiti and Nicaragua. This month, the Biden administration began to deport migrants back to Venezuela, after its president agreed to accept them.

More Families

Single adults have previously accounted for a majority of border apprehensions. But U.S. border officials apprehended more family members trying to cross the border from June to September than in any previous full fiscal year.

It can be more difficult for border agents to detain, deport or otherwise enforce punishments on families than on single adults. There is a legal limit on how long children can be held, and the Biden administration ended the practice of detaining families in 2021.

Families may be responding to this, showing up at the border instead of waiting for an appointment at an official checkpoint or through a humanitarian program. From January to May, people in families crossing the border made up about a fifth of total border apprehensions. In both August and September, that share rose to about half.

Monthly southwestern border apprehensions, by demographic

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (7)

150,000 apprehensions

Sept. ’23

103,027

people in

families

100,000

102,582

single adults

50,000

2019

2021

2023

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (8)

150,000 apprehensions

Sept. 2023

103,027

people in

families

100,000

102,582

single adults

50,000

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Source: U.S. Customs and Border Protection

Note: Only encounters between ports of entry are shown.

Experts say the U.S. policies of trying to deter people from crossing cannot work long term. They say that although people want to be safe and follow the rules, legal pathways have limited capacity, location restrictions and long wait times. This leaves many migrants to try and enter the country whether or not they legally fit into the current policies.

“We have yet to see any restrictive border policy work in terms of actually keeping the numbers down at the border,” Ms. Gilman said. “It just doesn’t work that way because people are fleeing extremely dangerous situations.”

Why Illegal Border Crossings Are at Sustained Highs (2024)

FAQs

Is there a border crisis? ›

There is a crisis on America's border with Mexico. The number of people arriving there has skyrocketed in the years since the pandemic, when crossings fell drastically.

How many people cross the U.S.-Mexico border every day? ›

More than 10,000 migrants per day, mostly asylum seekers, have been arriving at the U.S.-Mexico border. ​​Border Patrol sectors seeing the most arrivals are Del Rio and El Paso, Texas; Tucson, Arizona; and San Diego, California. Some of the rush is likely the product of false rumors and misinformation.

When did the border crisis start in America? ›

In 2014, the US declared a crisis at the border due to an influx of unaccompanied minors and women making their way through checkpoints.

Where are the migrants coming from in Texas? ›

The situation is dynamic. However, the main countries migrants are coming from today are Venezuela, Ecuador, El Salvador, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Cuba.

Why are so many migrants coming to America? ›

The number began to rise in 2018, largely driven by Central Americans fleeing a series of complex crises including gang violence, poverty, political repression and natural disasters. Detentions fell again in the summer of 2019, which US officials credited to increased enforcement by Mexico and Guatemala.

What has Biden done about the border problems? ›

His Administration has deployed the most agents and officers ever to address the situation at the Southern border, seized record levels of illicit fentanyl at our ports of entry, and brought together world leaders on a framework to deal with changing migration patterns that are impacting the entire Western Hemisphere.

Where do most of the immigrants in the United States come from? ›

Since 1965, about half of U.S. immigrants have come from Latin America, with about a quarter from Mexico alone. About another quarter have come from Asia. Large numbers have come from China, India, the Philippines, Central America and the Caribbean.

Where are all the migrants going? ›

They are flocking to cities but also to rural areas with significant work in the meat packing and agriculture industries that traditionally employ large numbers of migrants. To be sure, the data isn't perfect, relying on the addresses the migrants provide to US officials who are managing their immigration court cases.

How many immigrants are allowed in the U.S. each year? ›

The law governing U.S. immigration policy is called the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA). The INA allows the United States to grant up to 675,000 permanent immigrant visas each year across various visa categories.

Is Mexico deporting U.S. citizens? ›

Mexico does deport American citizens who are in the country illegally, according to government data and Rafael Fernández de Castro, Ph. D., the director of UC San Diego's Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies. But “the deportation of American citizens is not that common,” Fernández de Castro said.

Why are so many people leaving Mexico? ›

On average, immigrants came from more advantageous background as the cost of migration limited poorer individuals from migrating. Economic inequality, rural poverty, significantly lower wages, and better opportunities have also played a role throughout the 20th century as factors pulling Mexicans to migrate to the US.

How serious is the situation at the border? ›

How serious is the situation at the border? A sizable majority of Americans (78%) say the large number of migrants seeking to enter this country at the U.S.-Mexico border is either a crisis (45%) or a major problem (32%), according to the Pew Research Center survey, conducted Jan. 16-21, 2024, among 5,140 adults.

Why are so many migrants coming from Venezuela? ›

Since 2015, more than 7 million Venezuelans have emigrated due to ongoing economic and political turmoil. According to the United Nations Refugee Agency, the Venezuelan exodus – representing a quarter of Venezuela's population – is the world's second-largest refugee crisis.

What states are backing Texas? ›

Joining Missouri in standing with Texas are Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming, and the Arizona State ...

What is the cause of the border crisis? ›

Some are fleeing increased violence or political upheaval. Others seek jobs and economic opportunities, in the wake of profound economic dislocations caused by COVID-19, natural disasters, and economic stagnation. There are few lawful paths into the country for migrants driven by those factors.

Is there a migrant crisis in New York? ›

Since 2022, New York City has absorbed more than 170,000 migrants, mostly sent on buses by Texas officials from the US-Mexico border. Many of them are asylum-seekers who hail from South American countries facing political and economic upheaval, like Venezuela and El Salvador.

How many illegal border crossings in 2024? ›

In February 2024, the Biden administration officially surpassed a shocking nine million border crossings nationwide, not including the more than 1.8 million gotaways. Read previous “Startling Stats” factsheets at homeland.house.gov/border-startling-stats.

How does the border crisis affect the economy? ›

Filling these open jobs could have increased U.S. Gross Domestic Product by over $2.5 trillion. Going forward, these unfilled job openings will cost the U.S. economy over half a trillion dollars per year. These jobs will not be filled without immigrants, as the U.S. prime age employment rate is at a near record high.

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